April 14th, 2012 2:21 am EST - By Dave Manuel
Thiago Silva vs Alexander Gustafsson Set to Headline Card
After a long six week layoff, the UFC returns to the spotlight this weekend as they host their second UFC on Fuel TV event direct from Stockholm, Sweden.
The main event will feature rising star Alexander Gustafsson against Mr. Murderface himself, Thiago Silva.
Let's jump into this and give you my picks for the main card:
Thiago Silva vs Alexander Gustafsson -
Silva has fought ONCE in the past 27 months - ONCE. Gustafsson, on the other hand, has been steadily rising up the ranks of the light Heavyweight division.
Silva has legit knockout power, but I expect Gustafsson to exploit Silva's ring rust to earn a victory.
Pick: Gustafsson, -200
Brian Stann vs Alessio Sakara
Stann is a HUGE favourite in this fight - too big of a favorite, IMO.
I think that Stann will win this fight, but betting on sports is all about finding value, and I believe that Sakara at +326 (you can get +326 for Sakara on Pinnacle right now) is a decent wager. Stann has legit knockout power and can end this fight in one punch, but I think that people are underestimating Sakara's boxing. I think Stann wins, but I'll take the value in Sakara.
Pick: Sakara, +326
Siyar Bahadurzada vs Paulo Thiago
Thiago did not look good in his last fight (he still got the victory though), but that's good for us - it gives us some better odds, as I think that Thiago is going to win this fight. Pinnacle is currently giving -140 on Thiago, and we'll take that number. Look for the seasoned Thiago to get the win over the debuting Bahadurzada. I believe that Thiago will find a way to use Bahadurzada's aggressiveness against him.
Pick: Thiago, -140
John Maguire vs Damarques Johnson
Maguire is a very good grappler, but I'll take Johnson's striking and the fact that he is an underdog. In my mind, this fight is practically a coin flip, so we'll take the underdog.
Pick: Johnson, +136
Dennis Siver vs Diego Nunes
How is Siver going to respond to his weight cut? Siver is dropping down to Featherweight for this fight, and many people believe that it is just too much of a drop. Siver had trouble making weight, which leads me to believe that he will run out of gas during this fight. Look for Nunes to punish Siver in the second and third round of this fight, and look for Nunes to pick up the victory.
Pick: Nunes, -169
Damacio Page vs Brad Pickett
I don't see much of a path to victory for Page in this fight. Look for Page to come out like a bat out of hell, and Pickett to take Page down and submit him.
Pick: Pickett, -222
Source: UFC on Fuel TV 2 Betting Odds